Technology

Data Pipelines and ETL 2026: Apache Airflow, dbt, and the Orchestration Layer Uniting Data and AI

Emily Watson

Emily Watson

24 min read

Data pipelines and ETL have evolved from back-office batch jobs into the central nervous system of analytics and AI in 2026, with Apache Airflow at the heart of orchestration for many enterprises and the broader data pipeline market valued in the tens of billions of dollars. According to Integrate.io’s ETL market size report, the global ETL tools market is valued at roughly $7.63 billion in 2026, with the broader data integration market at about $17.58 billion and projected to reach $29 billion by 2029 at a 16% CAGR. Fortune Business Insights’ data pipeline market report estimates the data pipeline market at $12.26 billion in 2025, growing to $43.61 billion by 2032 at a 19.9% CAGR, driven by cloud adoption, real-time analytics, and the need to feed AI and ML workloads with reliable, scheduled data.

At the same time, Apache Airflow has become the de facto open standard for pipeline orchestration. According to Astronomer’s State of Airflow 2026, Airflow has reached 31 million monthly downloads (up from about 900,000 in 2020), with 77,000 organizations using it (up from 25,000 in 2020) and 3,000+ contributors. Astronomer’s State of Airflow 2025 notes that over 90% of surveyed engineers recommend Airflow and that about 54% of large enterprises (50,000+ employees) use it for mission-critical workloads. Airflow 3, released in 2025, introduced capabilities for AI and GenAI workloads, improved developer experience, and stronger security; Astronomer’s 2026 report states that 32% of Airflow users have GenAI or MLOps use cases in production, and that the orchestration layer is increasingly where data, AI, and enterprise growth converge.

Pipelines are defined and extended in Python: DAGs (Directed Acyclic Graphs) are written in Python, and tasks often call Python scripts or libraries such as pandas for transforms. A typical pattern is to define a DAG that runs on a schedule, runs a Python function or operator to extract and transform data, then loads it into a warehouse or feature store. That keeps Python at the center of both ad hoc analysis and production pipelines.

What Data Pipelines and ETL Are in 2026

Data pipelines are automated workflows that move, transform, and load data from sources (databases, APIs, files, streams) into destinations (data warehouses, data lakes, feature stores, or downstream applications). ETL (extract, transform, load) and ELT (extract, load, transform) are the dominant patterns: ETL transforms data before loading it into a warehouse, while ELT loads raw data first and transforms it inside the warehouse using SQL or dbt. According to Apache Airflow’s ETL/ELT use case documentation, ETL/ELT pipelines remain the most common Airflow application, with about 90% of survey respondents using Airflow for ETL/ELT to power analytics.

Orchestration tools such as Airflow do not replace transformation tools; they schedule and coordinate them. Airflow runs dbt projects, Spark jobs, Python scripts, and API calls at the right time and in the right order, with retries, alerting, and observability. In 2026, the pipeline stack often combines Airflow (or a managed variant such as Astronomer) for orchestration, dbt for SQL-based transformations in the warehouse, and Python for custom logic, API ingestion, and ML feature preparation.

Market Size, Cloud, and Real-Time

The data pipeline and ETL markets are large and growing. Integrate.io’s ETL market statistics value the ETL tools market at $7.63 billion in 2026 and the data integration market at $17.58 billion, with double-digit CAGR through the end of the decade. Allied Market Research’s data pipeline tools report projects the data pipeline tools market to reach $35.6 billion by 2031 at an 18.2% CAGR. Integrate.io’s cloud ETL growth trends and global ETL regional breakdowns note that cloud-based ETL holds a large share of the market and that real-time and streaming pipelines are among the fastest-growing segments as enterprises demand fresher data for analytics and AI.

North America continues to hold the largest share of revenue, but Asia-Pacific is the fastest-growing region in many forecasts, reflecting digital transformation and the adoption of cloud data platforms. The shift to cloud-native pipelines (e.g., on AWS, GCP, Azure) and managed orchestration (e.g., Astronomer, Google Cloud Composer, Amazon MWAA) has reduced the operational burden of running Airflow and related tools at scale.

Apache Airflow: From Batch to AI Orchestration

Apache Airflow is an open source platform for authoring, scheduling, and monitoring workflows. Workflows are defined as DAGs (Directed Acyclic Graphs) in Python: each DAG is a Python file that defines tasks and dependencies, and the Airflow scheduler runs tasks according to schedule and dependency order. According to Astronomer’s introduction to Airflow, Airflow’s strengths include tool-agnostic orchestration, extensibility (custom operators and sensors), dynamic task generation, and scalability across thousands of DAGs and tasks.

A minimal example in Python defines a DAG and a task that runs a Python callable or operator. Developers write something like the following to schedule a daily pipeline that extracts, transforms, and loads data:

from airflow import DAG
from airflow.operators.python import PythonOperator
from datetime import datetime

def extract_and_transform():
    # e.g. pandas or API calls
    pass

with DAG("daily_etl", start_date=datetime(2026, 1, 1), schedule="0 2 * * *") as dag:
    PythonOperator(task_id="etl_task", python_callable=extract_and_transform)

From there, teams add more tasks, use dedicated operators (e.g., for BigQuery, Snowflake, dbt), and integrate with alerting and secrets management. The point is that Python is the language of the pipeline: DAGs are code, and custom logic lives in Python.

Airflow 3 and the Shift to AI Workloads

Airflow 3, released in 2025, marked a major step in aligning orchestration with AI and GenAI use cases. According to Astronomer’s State of Airflow 2026, the release introduced improved support for AI workloads, remote task execution, stronger security, and a better developer experience. About 26% of users had upgraded to Airflow 3 less than a year after release, with about 48% of Astronomer customers on Airflow 3 and about 60% of the largest enterprise customers on the new version.

GenAI and MLOps in production are no longer edge cases. The same report states that 32% of Airflow users have GenAI or MLOps use cases in production, and that Airflow 3 is helping organizations move from prototypes to production-grade AI initiatives. Pipelines that train models, compute features, or call LLM APIs fit naturally into the same DAG-based model as traditional ETL, so that data and AI workflows share one orchestration layer.

dbt and the Transformation Layer

dbt (data build tool) has become the standard for SQL-based transformations inside the warehouse. Teams write SQL (and Jinja) in dbt projects to model raw data into staging, intermediate, and mart layers; dbt runs those models as part of a pipeline. According to dbt’s guide on Airflow and dbt Cloud, Airflow integrates with dbt so that organizations can run dbt from Airflow while using Airflow for overall scheduling and task dependencies. The result is a split of responsibilities: Airflow for when and in what order things run, dbt for what transformations run in the warehouse, and Python for everything that is not pure SQL (API calls, custom logic, ML steps).

Python at the Center of the Pipeline

Python appears in pipeline stacks in three main ways: DAG definitions (Airflow is Python-native), custom tasks (PythonOperator, or scripts invoked by BashOperator), and libraries (pandas, requests, SDKs) used inside those tasks. Data engineers and analytics engineers routinely write Python to define DAGs, add retries and SLA logic, and implement extract or transform steps that are awkward in SQL. The combination of Python for orchestration and glue and SQL (via dbt) for warehouse transforms has become the default pattern for many teams in 2026.

Cloud, Managed Services, and Operational Burden

Running Airflow at scale—schedulers, workers, metadata databases, and monitoring—is non-trivial. Managed Airflow offerings (e.g., Astronomer, Google Cloud Composer, Amazon MWAA) have grown by providing hosted, scaled, and patched Airflow so that teams focus on DAGs and data logic rather than infrastructure. Astronomer’s State of Airflow 2026 and related reports emphasize that enterprises are increasingly adopting managed orchestration and cloud-native data platforms, reducing the operational burden and accelerating the convergence of data and AI pipelines.

Observability, Reliability, and Data Quality

As pipelines power more analytics and AI, observability and reliability become critical. Airflow provides task-level logs, DAG run history, and alerts on failure or SLA breach; teams supplement with data quality checks (e.g., Great Expectations, dbt tests) and lineage (e.g., OpenLineage) to ensure that downstream consumers can trust the data. In 2026, best practice is to treat pipelines as production services with clear ownership, monitoring, and incident response.

Conclusion: Pipelines as the Unifying Layer

In 2026, data pipelines and ETL are the unifying layer between raw data and analytics, AI, and GenAI. The ETL and data pipeline markets are valued in the tens of billions of dollars and growing at double-digit rates; Apache Airflow has reached tens of millions of monthly downloads and tens of thousands of organizations, with Airflow 3 extending orchestration into GenAI and MLOps. Python remains the language in which pipelines are defined and extended, and dbt has become the standard for SQL-based transformation in the warehouse. A typical workflow is defined in a few lines of Python (a DAG and tasks), then scaled with more tasks, operators, and integrations—so that from batch ETL to real-time and AI workloads, the pipeline layer is where data and enterprise growth meet.

Emily Watson

About Emily Watson

Emily Watson is a tech journalist and innovation analyst who has been covering the technology industry for over 8 years.

View all articles by Emily Watson

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